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ALLIANCE FO§ DEMOCRACY
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Deflation

Everyone fears inflation, the devaluation of money, and are worried about the value of their savings. Politicians and the media stoke these fears. Readers and listeners, voters and others are being misled. A much greater disaster is brewing that eats up all of your savings: deflation.
The Great Depression of the 1930s showed us how quickly monetary assets can disappear. In all financial crises so far, deflation was the precursor to hyperinflation. This is how the great stock market crash of 1929 happened. Then came deflation and continued until the outbreak of World War II. Another example is what happened in Japan: From the collapse of the stock and real-estate bubble to the crash of 1990, deflation reigned in the Land of the Rising Sun and could not be subdued by the central bank, nor by printing money, nor by zero-percent interest rates, nor by more cultural programmes.
Deflation is also imminent here in Germany. The mortgage interest rate has bottomed out, as have the yields on government bonds. If inflation had prevailed, interest rates would have immediately risen, because no bank wants the money it lends to have less purchasing power when it is paid back and would apply surcharges to compensate for inflation. Higher interest rates can lead to more inflation, while lower interest rates can lead to more deflation. Since investments are less profitable when rates decline, the economy suffers. The more public debt there is, the fewer investors there are.
The Merkel government, which preaches water while it guzzles wine, attracts buyers. The information the government spreads is well formulated but has little relation to the truth. Yet the people know what is going on. They know the euro is lost. So they buy, because who knows how long the euro has left and, more importantly, what comes after it. Purchases by the masses during the final days of the euro temporarily boosts the economy. What we are not told is that asset values will fall victim to the collapse of the euro. Here, the government is deliberately playing with people’s livelihood, and no one wants to believe that they could lose theirs. Above all, no one wants to believe that their government would let this happen, although it already did let it happen a long time ago. The faith that value can be gained and even more value created has caused some institutions to tout real-estate, justifying this by saying that real property is not directly related to monetary value. This is what someone who keeps buying even after a crash does, but it is a mistake that politicians, banks and real-estate brokers take advantage of. The government is still preaching water while guzzling wine, and the real-estate brokers and banks continue to make profits, and the people buy and maintain a false sense of security. Like all other assets, real property and land are always exposed to the risk of being encumbered by the levies of the state. Recall the Equalization of Burdens Act of 1952.
After the last currency reform of 1948, property market values were encumbered up to 50% with levies to equalize burdens, i.e. taxes. This tax was levied on 1.667 percent of the value of the property over 30 years, i.e. on houses, apartments, land plots and shares.
The state could not find a better means of taxation because it makes any kind of tax evasion impossible. The properties are recorded in the land register, cannot be hidden and therefore easily subject to taxation. If the owner does not (cannot) pay, then a compulsory mortgage is imposed and recorded in the land register. Also, should the property value exceed the land charge, the property could be quickly expropriated.
So, real property is in no way a safe investment. After savings, they will soon become the next target of the state for expropriation.
Tax rebates are also empty promises. As public debt increases so much that it is no longer repayable, so do the taxes that are levied. The State needs money, and takes it from the people, whatever the programme may be called, regardless of the promises. The people are the ones who pay.
Every euro country is sitting on an inordinate amount of unpayable debt. Despite the debt brake, the policy of paying off old public debts with new ones continues. It promotes more debt and rescues no one. What’s more, the individual economies of the euro countries are diverging, particularly with respect to unit labour costs, which is one indicator.
The divergent unit labour costs in Europe are breaking the euro. If the debt-union countries stick to the austerity programme, and France, Spain or Greece adapt their unit labour costs to the German level, which is to say they lower them, the euro is done for. Then deflation will rule.
A single currency in Europe is impossible because production costs vary too much. With a single currency, there are no longer any exchange rates as compensation. The compensation mechanism is missing. The conflict between different economic sectors in the individual EMU states of the EMU, i.e. the economically divergent states in the Euro zone, and the single currency, can no longer be controlled.
Another indicator for the collapse of the euro is its value in relation to the dollar. The euro has dropped to below $1.05 and Goldmann Sachs expects it to fall as low as 80 cents. It has never dropped that low before, and so far the ECB’s bond-buying plan has been unable to stop the decline. Travel abroad, whether to the U.S., Switzerland or elsewhere will become too expensive for Europeans. The great freedom that was promised with the euro has come to an end, if it ever even existed.
Since the Euro zone exports more than it imports, trade surpluses should drive the value of the euro up, because the export companies must exchange the profits gained abroad into the domestic currency in order to pay employee wages, for example. The gap in capital is so big, however, that any surplus quickly disappears. What’s more, it also results in a devaluation of the euro because the billions in bond purchases approved by ECB President Mario Draghi as a bailout come while the U.S. is planning a change in its interest-rate policy. If the U.S. raises interest rates instead of keeping them stable at a low rate, the ECB’s assessment of the current situation may be wrong and the euro will continue to lose value.
So, there is no euro bailout. The supposed bailout and endless talk of stability are politically approved fables that are circulated so that people will continue to invest their continuously shrinking wages in real property, in financial investments of all kinds, in everyday luxury goods. There is no such thing as “good deflation” as economist Marcel Fratzscher recently described it in the business daily Handelsblatt .
The argument that declining oil prices are what is pushing the inflation rate below zero is a sham that it not to be believed. Because, if the euro sinks further, people will also put off their purchases no matter what the ECB says or the government preaches. This means that all businesses will have to further reduce their prices if they want to sell anything at all. Assuming this trend continues, there will be much fewer profits, jobs will be lost and unemployment will rise. More unemployment means less purchasing power. That means economic collapse and deflation.
On the 2017 Federal Elections
No Restraint
The IMF
Trump’s Election is a Warning for Germany’s Political Parties
Year-End Selection of Texts
CDU Party Congress 2016
IMF Crisis Management a Failure
Deployment of the Bundeswehr in Germany
Crucial Test with International Implications
Ever Closer?
On the 2016 German State Elections
Revealed: Colossal Public Fraud in Germany and Europe
Nettlesome Politics
The Press
As We Begin 2016
Legal Action
Clever Shifting Tactics
New Charges in an Ongoing Saga
Evil under the Sun – The G20
Political Paradox
Game over for Merkel
The Greeks are making history
Clash of the Titans
Elmau
FIFA Roulette
The Beast Roars
The Silver Lining
Pulling in Opposite Directions
The Deafening Silence
Texts on the liquidation of the euro
Wasting Time
New Rules, Same Impetus
Call in the Army
Politicians Run from Themselves
Tax Policy Loopholes
Europa without the Euro
Alternative to the Euro
Hellas
Easter 2015
Deflation
Tidying Up
Insolvency Statute
Heiner Geißler
Germany Corrupt No More
India’s GDP growth
PEGIDA
Rescue Fever
Unbridled Power
Heaven on Earth
Getting down to the Nitty Gritty
1-0 in Favour of the Opposition
The Junk Currency
Oil War 2014
Golden Goodbye
The Ukraine Aid Debacle
World Tax Authority
Demonstrations in front of the ECB
Promises and Trust
Democratic Deficits
Nothing is safe
Fit for a Museum
At Christmas 2014
Family Voting Rights
Clueless Advisors
Pension Debacle
The Balanced Budget Lie
The Wimpy Currency
Acid Test
Two Very Different Issues
Who is Ruling the World?
More Clandestine Employees
The Recession Principle
Is This Really Better?
Kohl and Merkel
Debt Brake Debate
Reforms
Merkel and the democracy
Tax Losses
Totalitarian Collectivism
Regrettable Incident
Wulff’s Attorney Brings New Legal Action
The ECB in the Crossfire
Former Constitutional Judge Sceptical
A Lovely Gathering of VIPs?
German Banks Need Money
Stumbling Match
Deutsche Bank under Pressure
The Crow …
Papier‘s Morality
Shot in the Arm for the Economy
Political Crime Novel
ECB Soon to be the Eurozone‘s only Bad Bank
Demonstration for Democracy
Award for responsible action
Recommendations in case of a crash
Final move
European rating agency
The last elections
Hartz-IV is enough
Mr. Putin, please cry!
No longer worth anything
Free trade agreement
1st September 2014
The election in Saxony
Special European Summit
Bankers are counting on it
Debt cut á la state
Immigrants criticised
Unbelievable assets
Bundesbank closes Money Museum
Lawsuit against bank union
Only the penitent …
Sustainability
ECB stability report
Cowardly warriors
The financial industry has learnt nothing
Bribery of MP’s
They are also blind on 2.
The Stability Pact
Avoid Obama
Thoughts on Merkel's birthday
Megalomania’s children
Niebel’s Low Points
On László Andor’s speech
Snowden should say nothing
Reduction of interest rates
OECD report
A great blunder
Germany as a driver of growth?
Farewell, housing allowance
Sick health service
The EU Commission knows about popular deception
Draghi gives a warning
Self-praise stinks
A forced affair of the heart
Drawn from left to right
Hollywood
The aftermath of an election
65 years of the Basic Law
Hypocrisy
Who will save the life-insured?
Minimum wage
Minimum Wage I
Minimum Wage II
Minimum wage III
Minimum wages IV
The minimum wage V
Arise for revolution
The European elections are an act of dictatorship
Switzerland and Europe
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The impossible triangle
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The old “Welt”
The Union wears the trousers
Zeroes – commas – nothing!
Book publication
Court Condemns Politicians
The highest German court
Parties for the European election
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European Elections
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Per capita assets
Federal Constitutional Court – Accrued gain and provision
ESM - ECB - the flood of debt
The hysterical Republic
Review proceedings against Wulff
The own goal of the High Court
Judges helpless
Schavan and zu Guttenberg
Human rights
Counterfeit money and false fifties
Fight against tax fraud?
New fellow citizens
So many ministers
Democracy the Turkish way
But will every European pay?
Data protection
Tax havens
Free Trade Agreement
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Expropriation of the citizen
Soon without cash
NSA Investigation Committee
Dutch rating agencies
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Snub for banks
Repeated deception of the people
De-dictatorisation
GroKo = Große Kosten (great costs)
The sluts of the SPD
What the grand coalition will present to us
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The new “tithe”
The people’s sense of justice
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When will it finally come, the Constitution for the united Germany?
Investors and savers
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Needs must when the devil drives
Wiki-Leaks +
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With full intent
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It’s all about the quota
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The failure of the government
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Euro rescue by means of inflation
Asylum for the Chancellor
Discussion over democracy
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The apparent vote ...
Courage, Mrs. Merkel!
Paid E-mailing
Only one month to go
Siegfried the Brave
Draghi wants more...
Fraud by forecast
Germany illegitimate
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Left out
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The rubble women
Every effort ...
Berlin Joint Welfare...
The casino of Cyprus
Ratings and bank union
A Conservative party...
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Employees of public...
Bank union
lose links and ...
Democracy in Germany
Close-up
Our money is not safe
Out of order
More spirit of ...
TV duel
France in need
Finances in the ...
False average
The fight against corruption
Parliamentary absentees
Bravo, Mr. Weidmann!
At the end, Mrs. Lagarde?
On the subject of Cyprus
The wool has been ... I
The wool has been ... II
The problem of inertial ...
Schroeder’s homage
Gay marriage: only policy
Gauck
The budget in NRW was ...
Penalties for bankers
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The female quota
G-20
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Stalemate in Italy
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Spain in the trend
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In the trap
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Euro-political...
The Devil returns home
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Bank rescue
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Goodbye, Greece
General strike
Atlantis
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ZDF
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EU Summit in October
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€ 8 more
In honour of Helmut Kohl
People have no respect
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Pensions are not safe
Serial Merkel
Bad, bad, bad
People are not ...
Kohl’s merits
Deliberate false statements
Outwardly fine, inwardly...
DDBRD!
Gabriel goes underground?
Kohl’s Ghost
Hopeless bankruptcy delay
Open for business
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2nd Outcry against the ESM
Fiscal Pact
Government bonds
ESM
Germany is bankrupt
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Top experts
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Get rid of German President
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Vultures gather
2011- System correction
Rating Agency Foundation
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GER is doing itself away
Rescue packages
Supercrash in USA and EU
The 'Soli'-Lie
Vladimir Putin
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More control
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Euro summit
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Euro rescue
Japan
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