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Further interest rate rise in July

"Die Welt" reported on 4th June 2011 (p. 17) that the European Central Bank (ECB) "is preparing for another interest rate rise this year", despite the escalating debt crisis in Greece.

Due to the persisting high pressure of inflation in the Euro zone "ECB President Jean-Claude Trichet, following the Council meeting on Thursday (9th June 2011) would probably give the signal for a tightening of monetary policy by 0.25 percentage points".

In April of this year, Trichet and Co. had increased the base rate by 0.25 points to 1.25%, despite the simmering national debt crisis.The inflation rate had dropped back to 2.7% in May, but was this was still far above the medium-term stability rate of the ECB of 2%.

The "Rheinische Post online" (RP online) confirmed Trichet's intentions on 10th June 2011. "The risks for price stability are directed upwards", said Trichet following the regular meeting of the ECB Council, "great care is therefore indicated." This formulation had been expected by observers, said the paper, because it was "a signal that the base rate would be increased in the following month, as usual by 0.25%." For June the ECB Council left the rate unchanged at 1.25%. The new forecasts of the ECB show that the fear of a mushrooming increase is well-founded. The central banks now anticipate an average inflation rate of 2.6% for 2011 (March forecast: 2.3%).

With this it would be even more than feared above the target figure of just under 2%, at which level the ECB speaks of stable prices. For 2012, the ECB again expects an easing price pressure averaging 1.7% (March forecast: 1.8).
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